SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $46.83 ↑ 1.5% 17th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 17th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Crude volatility at 17th percentile signals complacency, while KXWTI 8.5% implies 8.5% odds of $117+ by Nov 2026.

Sources

futures